pew research center
New Poll Compares the Groups Becoming More Democratic Under Trump Vs. Those Becoming More Republican, and It's Not Even Close
President Donald Trump mobilized Republican voters with far-right, nationalist ideologies in 2016 and in the three years since that election, we've seen Republican lawmakers go from condemning the President's dangerous rhetoric to excusing it or even amplifying it.
But while Trump may have forced his party to the right with his recklessness, a new poll indicates that Trump's well of Republican radicalism might be tapped out, pushing Americans leftward instead.
The Atlantic's David Frum cited a new poll to demonstrate just how many groups have shifted to the left since Trump's inauguration, comparing it to the paltry number going further to the right.
Groups becoming more Democratic in Trump era: Women Blacks Hispanics Asians College graduates Millennials Mormon… https://t.co/GT9Jua6ZJF— David Frum (@David Frum) 1577929639.0
The poll, conducted by Pew Research Center, surveyed thousands of voters in 2017 and found that Democratic Party identification is at its highest level since 2009.
According to the poll, women have gotten more Democratic:
"Among registered voters, 56% of women affiliate with or lean toward the Democratic Party, compared with 44% of men."
Voters of color are widely Democratic as well, with 84% of Black voters, 63% of Hispanic voters, and 65% of Asian voters identifying as Democrats.
When it comes to education's impact on political support, Pew noted a diametric shift decades in the making:
"In 1994, 39% of those with a four-year college degree (no postgraduate experience) identified with or leaned toward the Democratic Party and 54% associated with the Republican Party. In 2017, those figures were exactly reversed."
The intersections of age and gender found that 70% of millennial women identified as Democrats, a substantial move to the left:
"This wide gender gap among Millennial voters is largely attributable to a marked shift among Millennial women. As recently as 2014, the Democratic advantage among Millennial women was a narrower – but still substantial – 21 percentage points, compared with 47 points today. "
But one of the most interesting revelations was that even some solidly Republican religious groups are becoming less enthusiastic about their party:
"While Mormon voters remain a solidly Republican group (72% overall are Republican or Republican leaning), in recent years Mormons have been less likely to identify as Republican than in the past.Mormon voters are now about as likely to identify as independent (41%) as they are to identify as Republican (45%). For most of the past two decades, majorities of Mormons called themselves Republicans."
The findings were heartening to some.
If these Dem groups unite, GOTV and then vote, Trump will lose 2020. https://t.co/4wOalgeKm8— Kimberley Johnson (@Kimberley Johnson) 1577930980.0
this is wild! https://t.co/u8AKNWZDDE— Frank Matticola (@Frank Matticola) 1577935445.0
The trends speak for themselves. The future is Democratic. Thanks for the great summary, David. https://t.co/SJVJ8hToL4— Gary D. Music (@Gary D. Music) 1577970695.0
Drip...drip...drip... https://t.co/A6QY58Pr0W— Mike Madrid (@Mike Madrid) 1577943076.0
For others, the numbers represented a call to action.
Register, get informed and VOTE 2020 it matters ✌🏼❤️🇺🇸 https://t.co/EuIvJ3LbhV— Kelly M Seidlitz (@Kelly M Seidlitz) 1577940239.0
Please vote https://t.co/hfGxbctn7L— Mary🏴🇮🇪Sturino 🌊🌊🌊🌊🌊 (@Mary🏴🇮🇪Sturino 🌊🌊🌊🌊🌊) 1577933633.0
Americans awaken! The penny has dropped and more people are seeing that America is being dismantled from within by… https://t.co/rGV16Ywova— Pam (@Pam) 1577977709.0
The key is voting and making your voice heard https://t.co/7BQX8vsbly— Barbara Holmes (@Barbara Holmes) 1577936013.0
Oddly enough, the growing number of Democrats doesn't mean they'll enjoy an electoral victory in 2020. Both Republicans elected to the Presidency in the 21st century have done so without winning the popular vote.
The poll suddenly made some Republican tactics make more sense.
@davidfrum Republicans see the writing on the wall which is why they go in so hard on gerrymandering, voter suppres… https://t.co/ls8bG2N4hT— ZaxxonGalaxian (@ZaxxonGalaxian) 1577932328.0
@davidfrum This is evidence that we need to finish with the electoral college. There is no way that 30% of the coun… https://t.co/PgYnwUsjnl— Doc Margot (@Doc Margot) 1577943197.0
@davidfrum Given that the numbers of Group 1 are increasing and the numbers of group 2 are decreasing explains why… https://t.co/K6X4kzgeeA— Kevin Simonich (@Kevin Simonich) 1577936715.0
The 2020 election can't come soon enough.