oh-myyy-ribbon

New Poll of Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota Voters Has Very Bad News for Republicans in 2018—and for Trump in 2020

U.S. president Donald Trump speaks to supporters during a campaign rally at Scheels Arena on June 27, 2018 in Fargo, North Dakota with thousands in attendance. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

In three midwestern states, two of which were pivotal in the 2016 presidential election, the tides have turned on President Donald Trump. Michigan and Wisconsin, which both chose Trump in 2016, think in 2020, someone else should take the reins.

The third state, Minnesota chose Clinton over Trump in 2016, but by only 1.5 percent. Now, President Trump is hovering around 30 percent in all three states regarding his reelection in 2020.


NBC News and Marist released the poll numbers Wednesday, with more forthcoming on Thursday. That 28-31 percent mark holds true for other national polls of voter attitudes leading into the 2018 midterm elections.

And while a lot can happen between now and 2020, the midterm elections are only 104 days away. Those poll numbers concern Republicans the most and the news from these important states is not good.

In congressional preference, the Democrats lead the GOP by 8 to 12 percentage points, approaching 50 percent. While preference for Republican legislators fared better than Trump, not by much.

(NBC News/Marist)

And that could be tied to the President's approval ratings. While the first question merely asked if Trump should return to the Oval Office in 2020, the second asked people to rate his job performance.

(NBC News/Marist)

In Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, the President earned a solid F. His approval numbers match very closely to the congressional preference numbers for GOP support. However his disapproval numbers are higher than support for Democrats in Congress.

Over 50 percent of voters in all three states disapprove of the job Trump is doing at the White House.

Many speculate that prominent Republicans already saw the writing on the wall for 2018. Several prominent GOP members announced their retirement from politics, including Wisconsin Republican Representative and Speaker of the House Paul Ryan.

As for the President, he continues to hold routine rallies for himself. The campaign almost never stopped.

However the rallies are going to more remote areas now, with smaller venues and smaller crowds. The President's last two Trump rallies were held in Fargo, North Dakota and Great Falls, Montana. Crowd size is anywhere from hundreds to thousands according to the source for the numbers.

The arena for Trump's Great Falls event has a maximum capacity of 6,600 people without the special barricades required for a presidential entourage.

People reacting to the latest poll numbers were unsurprised by the outcome. Many listed reasons for the drop in Trump and GOP approval.

For many, it is about promises made and promises not kept.

And some posited explanations for some of the numbers.

Including a few sarcastic ones.

Nothing will be certain until the ballots are cast and votes are counted. In the 2014 midterms where less that 40 percent of eligible voters showed up, voter apathy decided the election, not personal choice. Hopefully in 2018, people will be motivated to head to the polls on Tuesday, November 6, 2018.

Blaze TV

Continuing a steady slide to the right since her tenure as President Donald Trump's United Nations ambassador, former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley is under heat for recent comments regarding the Confederate flag.

The comments came during an interview with far-Right Blaze TV host Glenn Beck.

Keep reading... Show less
Fox News

Former Vice President and current 2020 Presidential candidate Joe Biden erupted at a man during an Iowa town hall who accused him of actively working to get his son Hunter a board position on the Ukrainian energy company Burisma Holdings. Biden called the man a "damn liar" before challenging him to pushups.

Republicans seized on the moment as an opportunity to discredit Biden as a candidate, but Fox and Friends cohost Ainsley Earhardt's reaction may be the most deluded yet.

Keep reading... Show less
Bryan Woolston/Getty Images // @parscale/Twitter

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) has repeatedly made clear that, after President Donald Trump solicited Ukrainian leaders to announce investigations that personally benefitted him, the decision to launch impeachment proceedings wasn't a political maneuver, but a constitutional mandate.

The move came after years of Trump's supporters, as well as some critics, insisted that impeachment would be political suicide for the Democrats.

Since shortly after the inquiry's announcement in September, support for impeachment outweighed its oppositon as more revelations surfaced of Trump's dealings with Ukraine, but his 2020 campaign manager Brad Parscale attempted to show that Pelosi's move to impeach would lose Democrats their House majority.

Keep reading... Show less
CNN

Shortly after House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) announced that representatives would begin drafting articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy took the podium to defend the President and the Republican party as a whole.

It could've gone better.

Keep reading... Show less
SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images // MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images

One day after the House Judiciary Committee's hearing on impeachment, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) held a press conference announcing that the House would begin drafting articles of impeachment, with a possible floor vote as soon as Christmas.

The press conference signaled the beginning of the end of the impeachment inquiry in the House.

Keep reading... Show less
Salwan Georges/The Washington Post via Getty Images

The House Judiciary Committee, in its public impeachment hearing against President Donald Trump on Wednesday, consulted four constitutional scholars for greater insight to the legal implications of the President's Ukraine scandal—and whether they merit impeachment.

Three witnesses, called by Democrats, each made compelling arguments for the articles of impeachment with which Trump could be charged.

George Washington University professor Jonathan Turley—invited by Republicans—was the lone dissenter.

Keep reading... Show less