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Global Strategy Group Poll: Republicans Suffer as Campaigns Focus on Trump’s Personality and Record

That's a bitter pill to swallow.
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WASHINGTON, DC - JULY 30: (AFP OUT) U.S. President Donald Trump meets with Prime Minister of the Italian Republic Giuseppe Conte in the Oval Office on July 30, 1018 in Washington, DC. Among the topics to be discussed is trade and NATO. (Photo by Mark Wilson/Getty Images)

A new poll from Navigator Research, conducted by the Global Strategy Group, has bad news for Republicans who’ve indicated they plan to run in lockstep with President Donald Trump for re-election this November. The poll found that Republican support suffers when Republicans center their campaigns around the president’s personality and record. Democrats, however, enjoy a lead when they portray Republicans as Trump’s “servants.”

The poll’s findings benefit Democrats significantly:

  • On a generic ballot for Congress, Democrats had a 8-point lead, 45 percent to 37 percent.
  • 52 percent of those surveyed said they would prefer a Democrat who mostly opposes Trump; 39 percent said they would prefer a Republican who mostly supports him.
  • 50 percent of those surveyed said they would prefer a Democrat who would serve as a “check and balance” against Trump compared to 38 percent who said they would prefer a Republican who would help codify the president’s legislative agenda. (“’Check and balance’ is the better framing for avoiding backlash among those who are generally more supportive of Trump,” the pollsters wrote.)
  • 42 percent of independent voters said campaigning with Trump would make them “much less likely” to vote for a candidate in November’s midterm elections compared to 12 percent who said the same action would make them “somewhat less likely” to vote in November.

Talking about Trump is also a delicate matter. The poll recommends that Democrats attack Republicans for failing to rein Trump in, and nearly 60 percent of independent voters said that issue would make them less likely to support a candidate in November. The pollsters note that, when talking about politicians who support Trump, Democrats should describe them as “showing no backbone, putting party over country, and acting like Yes Men.” Language calling Republicans “complicit” in Trump’s actions does not sway swing voters, the pollsters found.

Global Strategy Group conducted the national online survey of 1,028 registered voters from Aug. 2 to Aug. 5. There was also a survey of an additional 100 independent voters.

The Global Strategy Group poll comes as Gallup’s latest poll shows that the president earned a 39 percent approval rating with 56 percent disapproving of his performance. Gallup a week earlier had shown a 41 percent approval rating for Trump, and a RealClear Politics average of other polls conducted this month “reflected a median 43.3 percent approval rating compared to a 52.2 percent disapproval rating.”

Gallup’s latest approval rating of Trump came at the 569-day mark in his first term, at a time when President’s Clinton, Reagan, and Carter each had similarly lackluster ratings.

Trump’s approval ratings have been dealt significant blows because of his approval of dictators, and his approval rating dipped to 38 percent after his meeting with Russian leader Vladimir Putin in July,  and, more specifically, after he sided with Putin over the assessment from U.S. intelligence agencies that Russian operatives had launched cyberattacks against the United States in its attempt to subvert the 2016 presidential election and undermine American democracy.

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