The president’s current job approval rating is about 42.1 percent and his disapproval rating is 52.8 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight’s approval rating tracker, and he has not seen a bump in the wake of the release of Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s report.
As Bloomberg points out:
Here’s why that’s bad news for Trump. His approval rating is the second-worst of any president on record after 801 days in office, which is where Trump was on Sunday. Only Ronald Reagan, at 41.1 percent, was worse. Trump is dead last in disapproval rating. No other president was over 50 percent. He’s also last in net approval (that is, approval minus disapproval) at -10.7.
Trump’s numbers have been unusually steady. His poor rating, and his low ranking among the 13 presidents of the polling era, isn’t a temporary fluke caused by recent bad news. It’s just where he always is. He’s been net negative since the earliest days of his presidency, and his disapproval has been over 50 percent for two years now. In fact, he’s been last in disapproval for all but about a month of his presidency.
The president also appears to be treading water in a key battleground state, according to a recent poll out of Emerson College. The poll found that former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) hold double-digit leads over Trump in a hypothetical 2020 White House matchup in the state of Pennsylvania.
Both men gained 55 percent of the vote in a general election matchup with the president. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA), and Representative Beto O’Rourke (D-TX) round out the top five. Biden also held the lead when respondents were asked who they’d vote for in the Democratic primary.
“Sanders in this year’s state polling is consistently keeping between 35% to 60% of his vote from 2016, suggesting he has a strong base of supporters to work with,” said Spencer Kimball, Director of the Emerson Poll.
Kimball added: “Mayor Pete has performed well for our third poll in a row, indicating an increase in support for the South Bend Mayor, though Pennsylvania looks like it could be a Joe Biden firewall.”
Only 41 percent of the survey’s respondents said they approve of the president’s job performance, and 55 percent said they are “not likely” to vote for the president in 2020.
Emerson College surveyed 808 registered voters in the state between March 26-28 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.