The possibility of Democrats regaining the presidency in 2020 is further bolstered by observing the way states crucial to Donald Trump’s 2016 win voted in midterms two years later.
While Trump won Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin by a small margin in 2016, all three states went blue for the 2018 midterms.
Furthermore, the President’s incessant racist and violent rhetoric has played a key factor in his former voters getting off the Trump train. It’s likely a tonal shift from the White House would convince moderate voters that the President may be…well, presidential.
Yet, even faced with this fact, Donald Trump himself has said it’s unlikely he’ll ever change his tone.
When Trump fanatic Cesar Sayoc sent multiple pipe bombs to notable Democrats, news organizations, and Trump critics, the president faced intense scrutiny, yet remained adamant. When asked if he’d finally tone down his rhetoric, the President responded:
“Well, I think I’ve been toned down, if you want to know the truth. I could really tone it up. Because, as you know, the media has been extremely unfair to me and to the Republican Party.”
Despite Trump’s ego and Lauder’s report, Democrats remain divided on their prospects for 2020, with some noting that the outcome is influenced by where Democrats focus their energy over the tenure of their new majority in the House of Representatives.
Any Republican who thinks Trump can win reelection is a fool.
— E O'Neal III (@EONealIII) November 9, 2018
If Democrats want Trump to win reelection in 2020, they will impeach him. Tonight shows that he still has tons of support in the states that matter.
— ALRMCoug (@ALRMCoug) November 7, 2018
You can’t see the damage Trump is doing to the GOP, the senate is not a measuring stick to see what’s coming, had the GOP flipped blue seats in blue states I could’ve been confident in his reelection. Any republican that runs against him will fracture the GOP even more.
— Manuel E. Vidaurri (@VidaurriE) November 9, 2018
Results from election tell us a 2020 trump defeat is difficult as OH and FL lean red. Dems will have to turn MI, PA, plus one more state blue or trump will win reelection. WI & NC are best shots but not easy. They also need to keep their West Coast wall intact #ElectionNight
— Axel Martinez (@axelmartinezSu) November 7, 2018
In a political climate plagued with uncertainty and dread, it’s only natural that the prospect of both parties for a 2020 Presidential victory will be divided as well. But as Lauder’s report indicates, Republicans may need to rethink their tactics if they do indeed want Trump to be a two term president.