Democratic voter enthusiasm is surging with just one month to go until the midterm elections, a new CNN/SSRS poll released on Tuesday reveals.
Excitement about the upcoming election among Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents has surged, with 62 percent of respondents saying they are either extremely enthusiastic or very enthusiastic to vote. That’s a seven-point boost from September.
On the Republican side, enthusiasm has basically held steady, going from 50 to 52 percent since last month.
These numbers show that Republican hopes of a bump in enthusiasm within their party in the wake of Brett Kavanaugh’s divisive confirmation to the Supreme Court may be nothing more than a desperate fantasy.
That’s because Americans trust Democrats more than Republicans on the issue of sexual assault, allegations of which nearly sunk Kavanaugh’s nomination, 50-39 percent, according to the poll.
Still, Republicans are adamant that they’re winning.
On Monday, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) said the ongoing protests of Kavanaugh, which he described as a “mob,” “certainly had a good impact for us” and that Republicans “are pretty excited.”
Democrats, McConnell claimed, “managed to deliver the only thing we hadn’t figured out how to do, which is to get our side fired up.”
President Donald Trump also cited a “left-wing mob” on Twitter and at several rallies.
You don’t hand matches to an arsonist, and you don’t give power to an angry left-wing mob. Democrats have become too EXTREME and TOO DANGEROUS to govern. Republicans believe in the rule of law – not the rule of the mob. VOTE REPUBLICAN!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 7, 2018
That mob, the survey says, is set to trample Republicans in November.
CNN explains just how much momentum is swelling behind Democrats:
“In fact, Democrats’ enthusiasm today more closely resembles the 2008 presidential election. Just before President Barack Obama was elected, 45% of Democrats and Democratic-leaners said they were extremely enthusiastic about voting that November. In 2008, Democrats won eight seats in the Senate and 21 in the House, as well as a victory in the presidency.”
The poll has even more good news for Democrats hoping to ride a blue wave to victory, which this year means the potential to take back the U.S. House of Representatives.
On the generic ballot, Democrats hold an impressive 13-point advantage over Republicans, the survey found, with 54 percent of likely voters saying they intend to vote blue. Just 41 percent said they intend to vote for the GOP.
“This is the widest margin of support for Democrats in a midterm cycle since 2006, when at this point, the party held a whopping 21-point lead over Republicans among likely voters,” CNN noted. “That’s also when Democrats seized control of the House from Republicans, making Nancy Pelosi speaker until 2011.”
Like the enthusiasm gap, voter preference on a generic ballot defies the messaging coming from the White House.
Trump in recent weeks has boasted about a “red wave” he believes will help Republicans hang onto control of Congress. Since June, Trump has tweeted about a red wave seven times.
Great night for Republicans! Congratulations to John Cox on a really big number in California. He can win. Even Fake News CNN said the Trump impact was really big, much bigger than they ever thought possible. So much for the big Blue Wave, it may be a big Red Wave. Working hard!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 6, 2018
Republicans should stop wasting their time on Immigration until after we elect more Senators and Congressmen/women in November. Dems are just playing games, have no intention of doing anything to solves this decades old problem. We can pass great legislation after the Red Wave!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 22, 2018
Presidential Approval numbers are very good – strong economy, military and just about everything else. Better numbers than Obama at this point, by far. We are winning on just about every front and for that reason there will not be a Blue Wave, but there might be a Red Wave!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 5, 2018
As long as I campaign and/or support Senate and House candidates (within reason), they will win! I LOVE the people, & they certainly seem to like the job I’m doing. If I find the time, in between China, Iran, the Economy and much more, which I must, we will have a giant Red Wave!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 8, 2018
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 8, 2018
Great Republican election results last night. So far we have the team we want. 8 for 9 in Special Elections. Red Wave!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 15, 2018
A Blue Wave means Crime and Open Borders. A Red Wave means Safety and Strength!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 21, 2018
The president hasn’t offered any evidence of this. In fact, a key demographic may spell doom for the party of Trump.
Women are especially emboldened to vote for Democrats in November, the survey said. Women plan on voting blue over red by a whopping 30-point margin – 63 to 33 percent. CNN said that if the polling data translates into actual votes, Democrats could see the most gains in the House since 1976, thanks to women voters.
Still, there is a little bit of light for Republicans.